In sudden shift, Democrats take lead in generic election ballot as voters fret about finances

The new poll shows bad news for Republicans heading into 2026 midterms.

Published: April 21, 2025 4:19pm

In a sudden swing, Democrats now enjoy a four-point lead over Republicans on the generic ballot, according to a new Napolitan News survey conducted by pollster Scott Rasmussen.

Forty-eight percent of voters say they would now vote for the Democrat from their district, while 44% would vote for the Republican. 

When leaners are included in the survey, the Democratic lead increases to five points: 50% to 45%.

The poll was conducted April 16 and represents a seven-point swing since the end of February, when the GOP held a two-point advantage (48% to 46%). 

In January, Republicans had a seven-point advantage (51% to 44%).

The generic ballot concerns track with negativity among voters on Trump's handling of the economy: on inflation, 41% approve of the president's performance, while 59% disapprove. In March, 45% approved and 52% disapproved. Two months ago, 48% approved and 47% disapproved.

"The decline in presidential approval on economic issues is tied to growing voter pessimism on their personal finances," Rasmussen's group explained. "That is likely the driving force in Democratic gains on the generic ballot."

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