Poll finds Republicans, Democrats tied in battle for Congress, amid most surveys showing GOP down

Half of registered voters would vote Democrat, while the other half would vote Republican, but Democrats had a slight lead with independent voters.

Published: April 29, 2026 8:41am

Updated: April 29, 2026 8:45am

Republicans and Democrats are running neck and neck in a generic congressional ballot. 

The Harvard Center for American Political Studies and HarrisX poll of 2,745 registered voters found that 50% are likely to vote for Democrats and the other half are likely to vote for Republicans. 

Democrats had an advantage with Independents, 52% of whom said they'd vote Democrat. Of those polled, 71% said they are "definitely" or "probably" going to vote, Mediaite reported

Among Republican voters, 62% said they'd definitely vote, and 18% said they probably would. For Democrats, 59% said they would definitely vote, while 17% said they probably would. 

Half of the registered voters polled said they thought President Donald Trump is performing better than former President Joe Biden. Trump's approval rating among registered voters was 42% in the poll. 

The most pressing issue for those voters was inflation/affordability, with 35% saying it's at the top. That was followed by the economy and jobs, immigration, health care, the U.S.-Iran conflict and corruption. 

The poll was conducted between April 23 and 26 and had a 1.87% margin of error. 

A new, three-day Emerson College Polling survey released Tuesday showed Democrats hold a 10-point advantage over Republicans on a generic congressional ballot – according to the latest in a series of polls showing the party in a strong position ahead of November’s midterm elections, according to The Hill newspaper.

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