Miyares odds of keeping VA AG post surge amid Jay Jones fallout

Virginia Attorney General Jason Miyares's odds of securing reelection have surged in recent days as his opponent, Jay Jones, continues to lose momentum over a scandal involving text messages in which he fantasized about the deaths of his political opponent's children.

As of press time, Polymarket betting odds assigned Miyares a 67% chance of winning the race, compared to just 34% for Jones. Those figures marked more than a complete reversal of the odds in just ten days. On Oct. 7, for instance, the odds favored Jones with 60% to Miyares's 42%.

Betting market odds have increasingly become a popular alternative to public polling, especially since the 2024 election, when Polymarket odds, specifically, proved extremely accurate indicators of the election results.

Miyares's odds stand in sharp contrast to those of GOP gubernatorial candidate Winsome Earle-Sears, who boast a mere 7% chance of winning her race.

Ben Whedon is the Chief Political Correspondent at Just the News. Follow him on X.