Paxton leading Cornyn in US Senate race, Talarico ahead of both, poll shows

The Impact Research poll shows Paxton leading Cornyn 53% to 37% and both candidates slightly behind Democrat Talarico

Published: March 21, 2026 11:24am

Updated: March 21, 2026 11:27am

A new poll of likely 2026 voters in Texas shows Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton leading Sen. John Cornyn in the race for U.S. Senate and James Talarico, a Democratic Texas state legislator, leading both GOP candidates.

The Impact Research poll shows Paxton leading Cornyn 53% to 37%. 

The results show Cornyn trailing Talarico by 2 points (43%-41%) and Paxton behind him by 1 (44%-43%).

President Trump has not made an endorsement yet as the runoff between Paxton and Cornyn approaches. 

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