SCOTUS tees up big last day of term with birthright citizenship, trans sports rulings

The Supreme Court is set to release its final opinions of the term on Tuesday, with key rulings expected on birthright citizenship, transgender sports bans, and campaign finance regulations.

The Supreme Court calendar currently lists Tuesday, June 30 as the final day for releasing opinions, which typically appear on the court website around 10:00 a.m. ET. Four cases remain so far on the docket without published opinions for the term.

Among those, the most highly anticipated is their ruling on President Donald Trump’s executive order directing federal agencies to interpret the 14th Amendment as not granting birthright citizenship to the children of illegal immigrants. Two more cases involve transgender sports bans in West Virginia and Idaho, while the fourth remaining case addresses federal limits on party committees spending in coordination with their respective candidates.

Here’s a look at what to expect:

• Trump v. Barbara

The birthright citizenship case addresses President Donald Trump’s 2025 executive order directing federal agencies to interpret the 14th Amendment as not granting birthright citizenship to the children of illegal immigrants.

The Court heard oral arguments in April, at which time analysts broadly suggested that the justices appeared skeptical of the administration’s arguments. Much of the case rests around the language of the 14th Amendment, which includes a mention of persons born in the United States and “subject to the jurisdiction thereof.”

The case is widely expected to go against the Trump administration, though whether the justices will rule on the constitutional question or punt the matter to Congress remains unclear.

• NRSC v. FEC

The National Republican Senatorial Committee has challenged the constitutionality of federal coordinated spending limits, citing the First Amendment. The Federal Election Campaign Act (FECA) sets forth the coordinated spending limits, which vary based on the office in question.

A win for the NRSC is expected to be a significant boost to Republicans, as their committee has more cash on hand than the Democratic counterpart. Should the Court eliminate those limits, the NRSC would be able to work more closely with its candidates this cycle and coordinate their spending on advertising, promotions and outreach.

The justices heard arguments in December.

• West Virginia v. BPJ and Little v. Hecox

The twin cases address statewide bans on transgender participation in public school sports. At present, 29 states have either laws or regulations barring the participation of transgender students in sports on the basis of gender identity, according to the Movement Advancement Project. Four states, however, are subject to judicial stays blocking those laws or policies, including Idaho and West Virginia.

West Virginia’s Save Women’s Sports Act bars biological men from participating in women’s sports and has faced a challenge from transgender teenager Becky Pepper Jackson, who at the age of 15 participates in shot-put and discus throwing. Idaho’s ban faces a challenger from Lindsay Hecox, a collegiate transgender track and field specialist. The Court’s rulings in these cases could be either tailored to the language of each specific ban, or a broader ruling that could impact dozens of states with similar laws.

The Court heard arguments in January on both cases.

Ben Whedon is the Chief Political Correspondent for Just the News. Follow him on X.